Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1113.348299 1262.745174 1428.557272 1626.902075 1858.577336 2121.663752 2444.501918
2025-08-31 887.685767 1085.662579 1326.018496 1642.133258 2051.120498 2568.145557 3280.403610
2025-09-07 771.814227 991.716884 1275.044182 1672.463711 2224.591841 2978.238778 4108.985191
2025-09-14 663.573178 884.817156 1182.994234 1622.520643 2268.237118 3205.472699 4713.587474
2025-09-21 582.072256 800.256645 1105.524496 1574.733783 2297.829056 3405.016132 5300.797210
2025-09-28 514.915024 726.487193 1032.083597 1519.034126 2301.439201 3557.480931 5831.934154
2025-10-05 487.824860 706.837635 1033.779414 1574.760900 2483.248417 4017.729142 6971.691515
2025-10-12 457.436296 678.397362 1017.931178 1598.868884 2613.955195 4409.705577 8068.342770
2025-10-19 428.559236 649.017031 996.763844 1610.227520 2722.168758 4776.296069 9193.253369
2025-10-26 402.877661 622.013727 976.159372 1619.018396 2825.261994 5147.691803 10409.925309
2025-11-02 386.790284 608.910369 976.803006 1664.396242 3001.471280 5689.419676 12127.693589
2025-11-09 369.739058 592.512046 969.898300 1694.554227 3151.523259 6202.649455 13911.643730
2025-11-16 351.821474 573.656838 957.837808 1715.471646 3290.225399 6726.598928 15896.746186
2025-11-23 334.138988 553.792750 942.215462 1727.925581 3414.089909 7243.940136 18031.578860
2025-11-30 320.869464 540.534242 937.180359 1760.368471 3585.439269 7905.444359 20782.207277
2025-12-07 297.915935 507.893712 892.920149 1707.308044 3557.280899 8074.598415 22135.207243
2025-12-14 277.418091 478.270708 851.924532 1656.569032 3527.169400 8233.302578 23511.087975
2025-12-21 257.776372 448.894117 809.090608 1597.448489 3469.167021 8308.899765 24646.271694
2025-12-28 252.826171 446.929016 819.948728 1656.597776 3707.492088 9238.092924 29077.775887
2026-01-04 244.598421 438.016270 816.041358 1682.193439 3865.906734 9978.740704 33145.668189
2026-01-11 235.593082 426.924241 806.715426 1694.254461 3991.270342 10651.437253 37255.009677
2026-01-18 226.952831 415.948571 796.713611 1703.589574 4111.017199 11335.867408 41743.168163
2026-01-25 222.303266 412.657864 802.650077 1751.785461 4345.808435 12447.365679 48708.150583